Premier Division · Matchday Regular Season - 33Played

Shelbourne – Sligo Rovers prediction

Shelbourne5 – 1Sligo Rovers

Kick-off October 9, 2026 at 8:45 PMAt Tolka Park

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
80%
Fair price
1.25
Expected goals
1.40 – 0.70

Recorded on October 7, 2026 at 9:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Shelbourne
2W · 1D · 2L
WDWLL
7/15
Points taken
2.00
Goals scored
1.40
Goals conceded
  1. WWinHSligo Rovers5 – 1
  2. DDrawAGalway1 – 1
  3. WWinADundalk3 – 2
  4. LDefeatHDrogheda1 – 2
  5. LDefeatHDerry City0 – 1
Sligo Rovers
0W · 0D · 5L
LLLLL
0/15
Points taken
0.40
Goals scored
2.80
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatAShelbourne1 – 5
  2. LDefeatHSt. Patricks0 – 1
  3. LDefeatHGalway1 – 3
  4. LDefeatADrogheda0 – 2
  5. LDefeatABohemians0 – 3

Head-to-head

10 meetings · Premier Division irlandaise

6
Shelbourne wins
3
Draws
1
Sligo Rovers wins
2.8
Goals per match
60 %
Over 2.5
  1. Oct 9, 26Premier Division irlandaise
    Shelbourne5 – 1Sligo Rovers
  2. Jun 27, 26Premier Division irlandaise
    Sligo Rovers2 – 2Shelbourne
  3. May 8, 26Premier Division irlandaise
    Shelbourne0 – 0Sligo Rovers
  4. Mar 21, 26Premier Division irlandaise
    Sligo Rovers0 – 1Shelbourne
  5. Oct 17, 25Premier Division irlandaise
    Shelbourne3 – 1Sligo Rovers
  6. Aug 2, 25Premier Division irlandaise
    Sligo Rovers0 – 2Shelbourne
  7. May 23, 25Premier Division irlandaise
    Shelbourne3 – 2Sligo Rovers
  8. Mar 28, 25Premier Division irlandaise
    Sligo Rovers1 – 2Shelbourne
  9. Sep 27, 24Premier Division irlandaise
    Shelbourne0 – 0Sligo Rovers
  10. Aug 10, 24Premier Division irlandaise
    Sligo Rovers2 – 1Shelbourne

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