Ekstraklasa · Matchday Regular Season - 10Played

Radomiak Radom – Motor Lublin prediction

Radomiak Radom2 – 3Motor Lublin

Kick-off October 12, 2026 at 6:00 PMAt Stadion Radomiaka Radom

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
78%
Fair price
1.28
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.33

Recorded on October 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Radomiak Radom
1W · 1D · 3L
LLLDW
4/15
Points taken
1.00
Goals scored
2.20
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatHMotor Lublin2 – 3
  2. LDefeatALech Poznan1 – 5
  3. LDefeatHPiast Gliwi…0 – 2
  4. DDrawAWidzew Lodz0 – 0
  5. WWinHCracovia2 – 1
Motor Lublin
1W · 1D · 3L
WDLLL
4/15
Points taken
1.20
Goals scored
1.80
Goals conceded
  1. WWinARadomiak Ra…3 – 2
  2. DDrawHGornik Zabr…0 – 0
  3. LDefeatARakow1 – 2
  4. LDefeatHLegia2 – 3
  5. LDefeatHPiast Gliwi…0 – 2

Head-to-head

5 meetings · Ekstraklasa

0
Radomiak Ra… wins
2
Draws
3
Motor Lublin wins
3.4
Goals per match
60 %
Over 2.5
  1. Oct 12, 26Ekstraklasa
    Radomiak Ra…2 – 3Motor Lublin
  2. Apr 6, 26Ekstraklasa
    Radomiak Ra…1 – 1Motor Lublin
  3. Sep 29, 25Ekstraklasa
    Motor Lublin2 – 2Radomiak Ra…
  4. May 24, 25Ekstraklasa
    Radomiak Ra…2 – 3Motor Lublin
  5. Dec 2, 24Ekstraklasa
    Motor Lublin1 – 0Radomiak Ra…

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