Scottish Premiership · Matchday Regular Season - 5Played

Kilmarnock – St Mirren prediction

Kilmarnock0 – 1St Mirren

Kick-off September 2, 2026 at 8:45 PMAt Rugby Park

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
81%
Fair price
1.24
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.44

Recorded on August 31, 2026 at 9:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Kilmarnock
1W · 2D · 2L
LDWDL
5/15
Points taken
0.60
Goals scored
1.00
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatARangers1 – 3
  2. DDrawHHearts1 – 1
  3. WWinAHibernian1 – 0
  4. DDrawAAberdeen0 – 0
  5. LDefeatHSt Mirren0 – 1
St Mirren
1W · 0D · 4L
LLLLW
3/15
Points taken
0.40
Goals scored
2.20
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatAHearts0 – 5
  2. LDefeatHDundee Unit…0 – 3
  3. LDefeatARangers0 – 1
  4. LDefeatHCeltic1 – 2
  5. WWinAKilmarnock1 – 0

Head-to-head

8 meetings · Scottish Premiership

4
Kilmarnock wins
2
Draws
2
St Mirren wins
3.1
Goals per match
50 %
Over 2.5
  1. Sep 2, 26Scottish Premiership
    Kilmarnock0 – 1St Mirren
  2. May 9, 26Scottish Premiership
    St Mirren0 – 3Kilmarnock
  3. Feb 11, 26Scottish Premiership
    Kilmarnock4 – 3St Mirren
  4. Dec 27, 25Scottish Premiership
    St Mirren0 – 0Kilmarnock
  5. Oct 4, 25Scottish Premiership
    Kilmarnock2 – 0St Mirren
  6. Mar 29, 25Scottish Premiership
    St Mirren5 – 1Kilmarnock
  7. Jan 2, 25Scottish Premiership
    Kilmarnock2 – 0St Mirren
  8. Sep 14, 24Scottish Premiership
    St Mirren2 – 2Kilmarnock

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