Scottish Premiership · Matchday Regular Season - 9Played

Kilmarnock – Motherwell prediction

Kilmarnock3 – 2Motherwell

Kick-off October 17, 2026 at 4:00 PMAt The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park

The model's call

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Probability
81%
Fair price
1.24
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.60

Recorded on October 15, 2026 at 4:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Kilmarnock
1W · 2D · 2L
LDWDL
5/15
Points taken
0.60
Goals scored
1.00
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatARangers1 – 3
  2. DDrawHHearts1 – 1
  3. WWinAHibernian1 – 0
  4. DDrawAAberdeen0 – 0
  5. LDefeatHSt Mirren0 – 1
Motherwell
1W · 0D · 4L
LLLLW
3/15
Points taken
0.80
Goals scored
1.80
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatHCeltic0 – 2
  2. LDefeatADundee1 – 2
  3. LDefeatHAberdeen0 – 4
  4. LDefeatARangers0 – 1
  5. WWinHDundee Unit…3 – 0

Head-to-head

7 meetings · Scottish Premiership

1
Kilmarnock wins
3
Draws
3
Motherwell wins
2.7
Goals per match
57 %
Over 2.5
  1. Jan 24, 26Scottish Premiership
    Motherwell4 – 0Kilmarnock
  2. Nov 22, 25Scottish Premiership
    Kilmarnock1 – 3Motherwell
  3. Aug 30, 25Scottish Premiership
    Motherwell2 – 2Kilmarnock
  4. May 14, 25Scottish Premiership
    Motherwell3 – 0Kilmarnock
  5. Apr 5, 25Scottish Premiership
    Kilmarnock2 – 0Motherwell
  6. Jan 8, 25Scottish Premiership
    Kilmarnock0 – 0Motherwell
  7. Dec 20, 24Scottish Premiership
    Motherwell1 – 1Kilmarnock

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