Ekstraklasa · Matchday Regular Season - 10Played

Jagiellonia – Gornik Zabrze prediction

Jagiellonia1 – 3Gornik Zabrze

Kick-off October 10, 2026 at 8:15 PMAt Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
82%
Fair price
1.23
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.18

Recorded on October 8, 2026 at 9:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Jagiellonia
1W · 0D · 4L
LLLWL
3/15
Points taken
1.00
Goals scored
2.20
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatHGornik Zabr…1 – 3
  2. LDefeatHLegia1 – 3
  3. LDefeatAWisla0 – 2
  4. WWinHSlask Wrocl…2 – 1
  5. LDefeatALech Poznan1 – 2
Gornik Zabrze
4W · 1D · 0L
WDWWW
13/15
Points taken
1.60
Goals scored
0.40
Goals conceded
  1. WWinAJagiellonia3 – 1
  2. DDrawAMotor Lublin0 – 0
  3. WWinAKorona Kiel…2 – 0
  4. WWinHLech Poznan2 – 1
  5. WWinACracovia1 – 0

Head-to-head

5 meetings · Ekstraklasa

1
Jagiellonia wins
1
Draws
3
Gornik Zabr… wins
2.8
Goals per match
60 %
Over 2.5
  1. Oct 10, 26Ekstraklasa
    Jagiellonia1 – 3Gornik Zabr…
  2. Apr 24, 26Ekstraklasa
    Jagiellonia1 – 2Gornik Zabr…
  3. Oct 26, 25Ekstraklasa
    Gornik Zabr…2 – 1Jagiellonia
  4. May 4, 25Ekstraklasa
    Jagiellonia1 – 1Gornik Zabr…
  5. Nov 3, 24Ekstraklasa
    Gornik Zabr…0 – 2Jagiellonia

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