Scottish Premiership · Matchday Regular Season - 8Played

Hearts – St Mirren prediction

Hearts5 – 0St Mirren

Kick-off October 10, 2026 at 4:00 PMAt Tynecastle Park

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
81%
Fair price
1.24
Expected goals
1.89 – 0.92

Recorded on October 8, 2026 at 4:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Hearts
3W · 1D · 1L
WDLWW
10/15
Points taken
2.40
Goals scored
1.00
Goals conceded
  1. WWinHSt Mirren5 – 0
  2. DDrawAKilmarnock1 – 1
  3. LDefeatAFalkirk1 – 2
  4. WWinHDundee2 – 1
  5. WWinAHibernian3 – 1
St Mirren
1W · 0D · 4L
LLLLW
3/15
Points taken
0.40
Goals scored
2.20
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatAHearts0 – 5
  2. LDefeatHDundee Unit…0 – 3
  3. LDefeatARangers0 – 1
  4. LDefeatHCeltic1 – 2
  5. WWinAKilmarnock1 – 0

Head-to-head

7 meetings · Scottish Premiership

4
Hearts wins
1
Draws
2
St Mirren wins
3.3
Goals per match
71 %
Over 2.5
  1. Oct 10, 26Scottish Premiership
    Hearts5 – 0St Mirren
  2. Feb 3, 26Scottish Premiership
    St Mirren1 – 0Hearts
  3. Jan 14, 26Scottish Premiership
    Hearts2 – 0St Mirren
  4. Oct 29, 25Scottish Premiership
    St Mirren2 – 2Hearts
  5. Feb 26, 25Scottish Premiership
    Hearts3 – 1St Mirren
  6. Oct 19, 24Scottish Premiership
    Hearts4 – 0St Mirren
  7. Sep 21, 24Scottish Premiership
    St Mirren2 – 1Hearts

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