League Two · Matchday Regular Season - 6Played

Gillingham – Tranmere prediction

Kick-off September 12, 2026 at 4:00 PMAt Priestfield Stadium

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
81%
Fair price
1.24
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.16

Recorded on September 10, 2026 at 4:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Gillingham
3W · 1D · 1L
WDLWW
10/15
Points taken
1.80
Goals scored
0.80
Goals conceded
  1. WWinARotherham4 – 1
  2. DDrawHNewport Cou…0 – 0
  3. LDefeatAYork0 – 3
  4. WWinHBristol Rvs3 – 0
  5. WWinHTranmere2 – 0
Tranmere
0W · 3D · 2L
DLDDL
3/15
Points taken
0.80
Goals scored
1.60
Goals conceded
  1. DDrawHRochdale1 – 1
  2. LDefeatAChesterfield2 – 4
  3. DDrawHWalsall1 – 1
  4. DDrawAExeter0 – 0
  5. LDefeatAGillingham0 – 2

Head-to-head

5 meetings · League Two

3
Gillingham wins
2
Draws
0
Tranmere wins
2.4
Goals per match
40 %
Over 2.5
  1. Sep 12, 26League Two
    Gillingham2 – 0Tranmere
  2. Feb 7, 26League Two
    Gillingham2 – 1Tranmere
  3. Aug 16, 25League Two
    Tranmere1 – 1Gillingham
  4. Jan 25, 25League Two
    Tranmere1 – 1Gillingham
  5. Sep 14, 24League Two
    Gillingham3 – 0Tranmere

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