League Two · Matchday Regular Season - 3Played

Gillingham – Northampton prediction

Gillingham1 – 1Northampton

Kick-off August 29, 2026 at 4:00 PMAt Priestfield Stadium

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
78%
Fair price
1.29
Expected goals
1.70 – 1.03

Recorded on August 27, 2026 at 4:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Gillingham
3W · 1D · 1L
WDLWW
10/15
Points taken
1.80
Goals scored
0.80
Goals conceded
  1. WWinARotherham4 – 1
  2. DDrawHNewport Cou…0 – 0
  3. LDefeatAYork0 – 3
  4. WWinHBristol Rvs3 – 0
  5. WWinHTranmere2 – 0
Northampton
1W · 2D · 2L
DLLWD
5/15
Points taken
0.60
Goals scored
1.00
Goals conceded
  1. DDrawAYork1 – 1
  2. LDefeatHRotherham0 – 1
  3. LDefeatAShrewsbury0 – 2
  4. WWinHNewport Cou…1 – 0
  5. DDrawHCrawley Town1 – 1

Head-to-head

1 meeting · League Two

0
Gillingham wins
1
Draws
0
Northampton wins
2.0
Goals per match
0 %
Over 2.5
  1. Aug 29, 26League Two
    Gillingham1 – 1Northampton

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