Primeira Liga · Matchday Regular Season - 3Played

Gil Vicente – Casa Pia prediction

Gil Vicente2 – 0Casa Pia

Kick-off August 24, 2026 at 9:15 PMAt Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
80%
Fair price
1.25
Expected goals
1.65 – 0.73

Recorded on August 23, 2026 at 1:01 AM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Gil Vicente
1W · 2D · 2L
WDLLD
5/15
Points taken
0.60
Goals scored
1.00
Goals conceded
  1. WWinAMoreirense1 – 0
  2. DDrawHMaritimo1 – 1
  3. LDefeatABenfica1 – 3
  4. LDefeatHAcademico V…0 – 1
  5. DDrawAFamalicao0 – 0
Casa Pia
1W · 1D · 3L
LWLDL
4/15
Points taken
0.60
Goals scored
1.40
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatHSanta Clara0 – 1
  2. WWinAEstoril2 – 1
  3. LDefeatHPorto1 – 4
  4. DDrawAGuimaraes0 – 0
  5. LDefeatHMoreirense0 – 1

Head-to-head

5 meetings · Primeira Liga

2
Gil Vicente wins
2
Draws
1
Casa Pia wins
2.0
Goals per match
20 %
Over 2.5
  1. Aug 24, 26Primeira Liga
    Gil Vicente2 – 0Casa Pia
  2. Apr 27, 26Primeira Liga
    Gil Vicente2 – 1Casa Pia
  3. Dec 13, 25Primeira Liga
    Casa Pia1 – 1Gil Vicente
  4. Feb 22, 25Primeira Liga
    Casa Pia1 – 0Gil Vicente
  5. Sep 22, 24Primeira Liga
    Gil Vicente1 – 1Casa Pia

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