Eredivisie · Matchday Regular Season - 8Played

Feyenoord – AZ Alkmaar prediction

Kick-off October 10, 2026 at 6:45 PMAt Stadion Feijenoord

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
76%
Fair price
1.31
Expected goals
1.77 – 1.21

Recorded on October 8, 2026 at 7:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Feyenoord
4W · 1D · 0L
WWWWD
13/15
Points taken
3.80
Goals scored
0.60
Goals conceded
  1. WWinHAZ Alkmaar2 – 0
  2. WWinHUtrecht5 – 0
  3. WWinAZwolle7 – 0
  4. WWinANijmegen3 – 1
  5. DDrawHDen Haag2 – 2
AZ Alkmaar
3W · 1D · 1L
LWDWW
10/15
Points taken
2.00
Goals scored
1.40
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatAFeyenoord0 – 2
  2. WWinHTelstar1 – 0
  3. DDrawHWillem II1 – 1
  4. WWinAHeerenveen3 – 2
  5. WWinHGo Ahead Ea…5 – 2

Head-to-head

5 meetings · Eredivisie

3
Feyenoord wins
2
Draws
0
AZ Alkmaar wins
3.2
Goals per match
40 %
Over 2.5
  1. Oct 10, 26Eredivisie
    Feyenoord2 – 0AZ Alkmaar
  2. May 10, 26Eredivisie
    Feyenoord1 – 1AZ Alkmaar
  3. Sep 21, 25Eredivisie
    AZ Alkmaar3 – 3Feyenoord
  4. Apr 5, 25Eredivisie
    AZ Alkmaar0 – 1Feyenoord
  5. Nov 2, 24Eredivisie
    Feyenoord3 – 2AZ Alkmaar

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