Primeira Liga · Matchday Regular Season - 6Played

Famalicao – Sp Lisbon prediction

Famalicao1 – 1Sp Lisbon

Kick-off September 13, 2026 at 9:30 PMAt Estadio Municipal de Famalicao

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
82%
Fair price
1.22
Expected goals
1.02 – 1.49

Recorded on September 11, 2026 at 10:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Famalicao
1W · 3D · 1L
LWDDD
6/15
Points taken
1.60
Goals scored
1.40
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatHAlverca1 – 4
  2. WWinANacional4 – 0
  3. DDrawHSp Lisbon1 – 1
  4. DDrawAEstrela2 – 2
  5. DDrawHGil Vicente0 – 0
Sp Lisbon
3W · 2D · 0L
WDDWW
11/15
Points taken
2.40
Goals scored
0.80
Goals conceded
  1. WWinASp Braga3 – 1
  2. DDrawHArouca2 – 2
  3. DDrawAFamalicao1 – 1
  4. WWinHNacional2 – 0
  5. WWinARio Ave4 – 0

Head-to-head

5 meetings · Primeira Liga

0
Famalicao wins
1
Draws
4
Sp Lisbon wins
2.6
Goals per match
60 %
Over 2.5
  1. Sep 13, 26Primeira Liga
    Famalicao1 – 1Sp Lisbon
  2. Feb 15, 26Primeira Liga
    Sp Lisbon1 – 0Famalicao
  3. Sep 13, 25Primeira Liga
    Famalicao1 – 2Sp Lisbon
  4. Mar 15, 25Primeira Liga
    Sp Lisbon3 – 1Famalicao
  5. Oct 26, 24Primeira Liga
    Famalicao0 – 3Sp Lisbon

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