Scottish Premiership · Matchday Regular Season - 8Played

Falkirk – Dundee prediction

Kick-off October 10, 2026 at 4:00 PMAt Falkirk Stadium

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
81%
Fair price
1.24
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.18

Recorded on October 8, 2026 at 4:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Falkirk
1W · 2D · 2L
LDWDL
5/15
Points taken
1.20
Goals scored
1.40
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatHDundee1 – 2
  2. DDrawASt Johnstone1 – 1
  3. WWinHHearts2 – 1
  4. DDrawADundee Unit…1 – 1
  5. LDefeatHRangers1 – 2
Dundee
2W · 1D · 2L
WWLDL
7/15
Points taken
1.40
Goals scored
1.40
Goals conceded
  1. WWinAFalkirk2 – 1
  2. WWinHMotherwell2 – 1
  3. LDefeatAHearts1 – 2
  4. DDrawHSt Johnstone1 – 1
  5. LDefeatHHibernian1 – 2

Head-to-head

4 meetings · Scottish Premiership

2
Falkirk wins
0
Draws
2
Dundee wins
2.0
Goals per match
50 %
Over 2.5
  1. Oct 10, 26Scottish Premiership
    Falkirk1 – 2Dundee
  2. Feb 11, 26Scottish Premiership
    Falkirk1 – 0Dundee
  3. Dec 27, 25Scottish Premiership
    Dundee1 – 0Falkirk
  4. Oct 25, 25Scottish Premiership
    Falkirk2 – 1Dundee

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