Primeira Liga · Matchday Regular Season - 7Played

Estoril – Casa Pia prediction

Estoril1 – 2Casa Pia

Kick-off September 20, 2026 at 7:00 PMAt Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
79%
Fair price
1.27
Expected goals
1.54 – 0.89

Recorded on September 18, 2026 at 7:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Estoril
0W · 1D · 4L
LLLDL
1/15
Points taken
0.60
Goals scored
1.40
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatAAcademico V…1 – 2
  2. LDefeatHCasa Pia1 – 2
  3. LDefeatASp Braga0 – 1
  4. DDrawHArouca0 – 0
  5. LDefeatABenfica1 – 2
Casa Pia
1W · 1D · 3L
LWLDL
4/15
Points taken
0.60
Goals scored
1.40
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatHSanta Clara0 – 1
  2. WWinAEstoril2 – 1
  3. LDefeatHPorto1 – 4
  4. DDrawAGuimaraes0 – 0
  5. LDefeatHMoreirense0 – 1

Head-to-head

5 meetings · Primeira Liga

1
Estoril wins
2
Draws
2
Casa Pia wins
2.6
Goals per match
60 %
Over 2.5
  1. Sep 20, 26Primeira Liga
    Estoril1 – 2Casa Pia
  2. Mar 7, 26Primeira Liga
    Estoril0 – 0Casa Pia
  3. Oct 3, 25Primeira Liga
    Casa Pia2 – 2Estoril
  4. Apr 29, 25Primeira Liga
    Casa Pia1 – 3Estoril
  5. Dec 15, 24Primeira Liga
    Estoril0 – 2Casa Pia

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