Scottish League Two · Matchday Regular Season - 9Played

Dumbarton – Forfar prediction

Dumbarton2 – 1Forfar

Kick-off October 3, 2026 at 4:00 PMAt Dumbarton Football Stadium

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
81%
Fair price
1.24
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.28

Recorded on October 1, 2026 at 4:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Dumbarton
3W · 0D · 2L
LWWLW
9/15
Points taken
1.80
Goals scored
1.40
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatAClyde1 – 2
  2. WWinHForfar2 – 1
  3. WWinHSpartans3 – 0
  4. LDefeatAStranraer1 – 3
  5. WWinHElgin2 – 1
Forfar
1W · 0D · 4L
LLWLL
3/15
Points taken
0.80
Goals scored
2.40
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatHElgin1 – 2
  2. LDefeatADumbarton1 – 2
  3. WWinHAnnan Athle…1 – 0
  4. LDefeatASpartans1 – 5
  5. LDefeatHStranraer0 – 3

Head-to-head

5 meetings · Scottish League Two

2
Dumbarton wins
1
Draws
2
Forfar wins
3.8
Goals per match
80 %
Over 2.5
  1. Oct 3, 26Scottish League Two
    Dumbarton2 – 1Forfar
  2. Mar 28, 26Scottish League Two
    Dumbarton2 – 2Forfar
  3. Feb 7, 26Scottish League Two
    Forfar2 – 0Dumbarton
  4. Nov 22, 25Scottish League Two
    Dumbarton1 – 4Forfar
  5. Sep 13, 25Scottish League Two
    Forfar2 – 3Dumbarton

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