Primeira Liga · Matchday Regular Season - 8Played

Casa Pia – Santa Clara prediction

Casa Pia0 – 1Santa Clara

Kick-off October 10, 2026 at 9:30 PMAt Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
80%
Fair price
1.24
Expected goals
0.86 – 1.19

Recorded on October 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Casa Pia
1W · 1D · 3L
LWLDL
4/15
Points taken
0.60
Goals scored
1.40
Goals conceded
  1. LDefeatHSanta Clara0 – 1
  2. WWinAEstoril2 – 1
  3. LDefeatHPorto1 – 4
  4. DDrawAGuimaraes0 – 0
  5. LDefeatHMoreirense0 – 1
Santa Clara
3W · 2D · 0L
WDWWD
11/15
Points taken
1.60
Goals scored
0.40
Goals conceded
  1. WWinACasa Pia1 – 0
  2. DDrawHSp Braga0 – 0
  3. WWinAArouca2 – 1
  4. WWinHRio Ave4 – 0
  5. DDrawAAlverca1 – 1

Head-to-head

5 meetings · Primeira Liga

0
Casa Pia wins
1
Draws
4
Santa Clara wins
1.4
Goals per match
20 %
Over 2.5
  1. Oct 10, 26Primeira Liga
    Casa Pia0 – 1Santa Clara
  2. Apr 18, 26Primeira Liga
    Casa Pia0 – 0Santa Clara
  3. Dec 6, 25Primeira Liga
    Santa Clara1 – 0Casa Pia
  4. Feb 1, 25Primeira Liga
    Santa Clara2 – 1Casa Pia
  5. Aug 24, 24Primeira Liga
    Casa Pia0 – 2Santa Clara

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