Serie A · Matchday Regular Season - 3Played

Cagliari – Lecce prediction

Cagliari1 – 0Lecce

Kick-off September 7, 2026 at 6:30 PMAt Unipol Domus

The model's call

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The match has been played, but the call stays masked here: a forfait is for reading it before kick-off, not for reading it back afterwards. The verdict for this fixture and the call behind it are published in full on the record, which is open to everybody. Everything the call was built from is already below: the probability the model gives, the price that probability is worth and the goals expected from each side.

Probability
81%
Fair price
1.23
Expected goals
1.24 – 0.99

Recorded on September 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM, before kick-off. The figures on this page are the ones it was frozen with, never recomputed afterwards.

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What the data says

The same figures the model reads for this match, published ahead of it.

Current form

Each team's last 5 matches, all competitions

Cagliari
3W · 1D · 1L
DWWWL
10/15
Points taken
1.00
Goals scored
0.60
Goals conceded
  1. DDrawHJuventus1 – 1
  2. WWinAUdinese1 – 0
  3. WWinAAtalanta2 – 1
  4. WWinHLecce1 – 0
  5. LDefeatHInter0 – 1
Lecce
2W · 0D · 3L
WLLWL
6/15
Points taken
1.40
Goals scored
1.60
Goals conceded
  1. WWinAUdinese3 – 0
  2. LDefeatHBologna1 – 2
  3. LDefeatAMilan0 – 3
  4. WWinHMonza3 – 2
  5. LDefeatACagliari0 – 1

Head-to-head

5 meetings · Serie A

3
Cagliari wins
0
Draws
2
Lecce wins
2.4
Goals per match
40 %
Over 2.5
  1. Sep 7, 26Serie A
    Cagliari1 – 0Lecce
  2. Feb 16, 26Serie A
    Cagliari0 – 2Lecce
  3. Sep 19, 25Serie A
    Lecce1 – 2Cagliari
  4. Jan 19, 25Serie A
    Cagliari4 – 1Lecce
  5. Aug 31, 24Serie A
    Lecce1 – 0Cagliari

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